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Brazil's Environmental Crossroads: The Official Greenwashing at COP30

DOI Licença: CC BY 4.0 🇧🇷 PT 🇺🇸 EN Status

PREAMBLE: The Grand Theater of Environmental Diplomacy — When Rhetoric Meets Reality

Brazil, September 23, 2025.

The stage of the 80th United Nations General Assembly witnessed yet another chapter in Brazil's complex environmental narrative. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with his characteristic oratorical mastery, resonated through the corridors of world power, speaking of "the only war in which everyone can emerge victorious" — the epic battle against hunger and poverty. He triumphantly celebrated Brazil's exit from the FAO's Hunger Map. He brandished democracy as a non-negotiable value and solemnly summoned nations to COP30 in Belém, promising it would be the "COP of truth."

But what truth? Behind the diplomatic eloquence, a dissonant reality reveals itself as an inevitable shadow of the official discourse. Brazil, which projects itself as a future leader of the global bioeconomy, keeps two of its most revolutionary policies — the National Policy for the Incentive of Bamboo Management (PNMCB) and the National Solid Waste Policy (PNRS) — buried for over a decade in regulatory limbo.

Meanwhile, in the very Amazon that will host this "COP of truth," multiple paradoxes manifest: scientific study reveals that 93% of the carcinogenic impact of artisanal bamboo production comes from the poor management of waste contaminated with Boron and Copper Sulfate, while Belém invests over R$ 1 billion in high-carbon infrastructure to impress international delegations, leaving 66.7% of the local population without basic sanitation.

This documentary piece is structured in "Acts" rigorously founded on scientific evidence and primary data. Faced with the announced catastrophe, this repository — now open, imperfect, and in constant construction — is an urgent invitation to citizen science: contribute, act, review, participate.

Done is Better than Perfect. Action is Better than Omission.


🚨 NATIONAL CALL TO ACTION

This document is a collective work in permanent construction. Your reading is an act of intellectual resistance. Its dissemination is democratic mobilization.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

PARTICIPATE NOW:

📝 SIGN THE PETITION → Urgent Regulation of the Bamboo Law

🌐 Takwara Repository: https://resck.github.io/Takwara-Tech/bem-vindo/

Read the proposed regulatory decree

📢 Share: Use #RegulamentaBambu #EconomiaCircular #COP30DaVerdade


Why your participation is crucial:

  • 28.5 million Brazilians still suffer from food insecurity

  • R$ 120 billion lost in the circular economy

  • 15 years of paralysis in the country's most strategic policies

  • Few days until COP30 — last chance for real leadership

The revolution will not come from palaces, but from laboratories, cooperatives, communities. It will come from us!


ACT I: The Global Ultimatum — Civilization's Sustainability at Stake

Before analyzing Brazil's specific environmental crises, it is imperative to contextualize them within a broader and more alarming framework: the sustainability of human civilization itself in the face of planetary resource consumption. A quantitative study published in Scientific Reports by Bologna and Aquino (2020) offers a mathematical model to assess the probability of humanity avoiding a catastrophic collapse, based on the interaction between population growth and global deforestation. The conclusions are a strong warning and serve as a scientific ultimatum that frames the urgency of all subsequent discussions.

Bologna and Aquino's (2020) model uses logistic dynamics to describe the interaction between human population (N) and the planet's forest cover (R). The premise is that Earth's carrying capacity is directly linked to the health of its ecosystems, represented here by forests. As the population grows, resource consumption (deforestation) accelerates, diminishing the planet's ability to sustain that same population. This process leads to a "point of no return": a population peak from which environmental degradation is so severe that a rapid and disastrous collapse becomes inevitable.

The model is based on a set of constant parameters, with the crucial distinction between pessimistic and optimistic scenarios residing in the estimation of the β parameter, which represents the planet's carrying capacity ratio.

The tables below detail the model parameters and their grim projections.

Table 1: Population-Forest Interaction Model Parameters

Parameter Symbol Description Estimated Value
Initial Forest Cover Rc Planet's forest area before human civilization 60 million km²
Current Forest Cover R Remaining forest area on the planet \< 40 million km²
Population Growth Rate r Human population growth rate \~0.01 year⁻¹
Forest Regeneration Capacity r' Natural regeneration rate of forests \~0.001 year⁻¹
Technological Consumption Parameter a₀ Measures the rate at which humans extract resources (forests) \~10⁻¹² year⁻¹
Carrying Capacity Ratio β Constant relating forest cover to population carrying capacity \~170 (Realistic/Pessimistic Scenario) \~700-900 (Optimistic Scenario)

Source: Adapted from Bologna and Aquino (2020).

Table 1 Summary (English): This table outlines the key parameters used in the human-forest interaction model developed by Bologna & Aquino (2020). It details the variables representing forest cover, population growth, and resource consumption. The crucial distinction between the realistic/pessimistic and optimistic scenarios lies in the β parameter, which reflects different assumptions about the planet's carrying capacity. Source: Bologna & Aquino (2020).

Table 2: Collapse Projections: The Timeline to the "Point of No Return"

Metric Realistic Scenario (β=170) Optimistic Scenario (β=700)
Population Peak (Point of No Return) Reached between 20 and 40 years from 2020 Reached in approximately 130 years from 2020
Post-Peak Dynamics Rapid and disastrous population collapse Rapid and disastrous population collapse
Model Conclusion Civilization enters a state of irreversible decline Civilization enters a state of irreversible decline

Source: Adapted from Bologna and Aquino (2020).

Table 2 Summary (English): This table presents the timeline projections for civilizational collapse based on the model by Bologna & Aquino (2020). It contrasts the realistic scenario, which predicts reaching an irreversible "no-return point" within 20-40 years from 2020, with an optimistic scenario that postpones this peak to approximately 130 years. Both scenarios, however, culminate in a rapid and disastrous population collapse. Source: Bologna & Aquino (2020).

The most alarming conclusion of the study lies in humanity's probability of escaping this fate. By simulating thousands of trajectories, the model calculates the chances of our technological development reaching a level of energy self-sufficiency before ecological collapse becomes inevitable.

Table 3: Probability of Civilizational Survival

Scenario Technological Growth Rate (α) Needed for Success Probability of Success (Avoiding Collapse)
Realistic Scenario (β=170) α > 1.5 (orders of magnitude above observed) Virtually zero (0%)
Optimistic Scenario (β=700) α ≈ 0.345 (equivalent to Moore's Law) Less than 10%
Overall Study Conclusion The probability of our civilization surviving itself is less than 10% in the most optimistic scenario

Source: Adapted from Bologna and Aquino (2020).

Table 3 Summary (English): This table summarizes the ultimate findings of the Bologna & Aquino (2020) study regarding the probability of avoiding civilizational collapse. It shows that even under the most optimistic scenario, which assumes a technological growth rate comparable to Moore's Law, the chance of success is less than 10%. In the more realistic scenario, the probability is virtually zero. Source: Bologna & Aquino (2020).

This global scientific ultimatum provides the necessary framework for analyzing the Brazilian situation. The crises of deforestation, fires, and deregulation in Brazil are not just local problems; they are the manifestation, on a national scale, of the same destructive dynamic that, according to the model, is pushing global civilization towards imminent collapse.

INTERLUDE I: Between Science and Politics

Bologna and Aquino's model is not science fiction — it is mathematics applied to reality. While the numbers reveal survival probabilities below 10%, Brazil prepares to host COP30 promising solutions that its own internal policies contradict. The irony is devastating: the country that could lead the global bioeconomy keeps its most powerful tools (PNMCB and PNRS) paralyzed for over a decade. Learn more...


This act unveils three legislative milestones that, collectively, form a new permissive legal architecture, prioritizing economic interests over socio-environmental protection. It represents a coordinated regression in Brazilian environmental law — not by chance, but by deliberate political design.

Scene I: The Temporal Framework (Law 14.701/2023) — The Legalization of Historical Dispossession

Law 14.701/2023, sanctioned after the overturning of presidential vetoes, materializes one of the most severe attacks on the rights of indigenous peoples since re-democratization. Its approval directly challenges a Supreme Federal Court (STF) decision, institutionalizing a legal thesis that threatens to paralyze future demarcations and destabilize existing ones, with profound implications for environmental conservation.

The Core of Legalized Expropriation

The core of the law is the "temporal framework" thesis, which restricts the right to demarcation of Indigenous Lands (TIs) only to those that were physically occupied or under proven dispute on October 5, 1988, the date of the promulgation of the Federal Constitution. This interpretation deliberately ignores the history of violence, expulsions, and forced displacements that marked the Brazilian State's relationship with indigenous peoples. By setting an arbitrary date, the thesis effectively legalizes historical expropriation.

The law's trajectory shows unprecedented institutional confrontation. In September 2023, the STF declared the temporal framework thesis unconstitutional. In direct reaction, the National Congress, on December 14, 2023, overturned the presidential veto, transforming it into law — a direct blow to the separation of powers.

The Trail of Violence and Environmental Devastation

The promulgation of Law 14.701/2023 intensified legal uncertainty and violence in the countryside, with a documented increase in land conflicts and attacks on indigenous communities throughout 2024. The environmental impact is immeasurable: TIs function as the most effective barriers against deforestation and fires, preserving 80% of their original forest cover.

The overturning of presidential vetoes was systematic, reincorporating provisions that allow large infrastructure projects without prior consultation, prohibit the expansion of demarcated lands, and pave the way for the annulment of demarcations. The few vetoes maintained were cosmetic in the face of the law's devastating core.

Scene II: The General Licensing Law (PL 2159/21) — 63 Vetoes Against Barbarism

Bill 2.159/2021, which establishes the new General Environmental Licensing Law, was sanctioned with 63 presidential vetoes — a number that reveals the dimension of the setbacks contained in the original text. Each veto represents a battle to preserve a minimum of technical rigor and socio-environmental protection.

Table 4: Analysis of Key Presidential Vetoes to PL 2159/21 (General Environmental Licensing Law)

Veto Category Vetoed Provision Official Justification Risk if Overturned
Integrity of Licensing License by Adhesion and Commitment (LAC) for activities with medium polluting potential Self-declaration contradicts public interest and precautionary principle Licensing without prior analysis by environmental agency
Indigenous and Quilombola Rights Exclusion of FUNAI/Palmares in licensing outside demarcated lands Violates right to prior consultation (ILO Convention 169) Communities unprotected against impacts of neighboring projects
Legal Certainty Automatic extension due to administrative omission "Tacit license" is unconstitutional Incentive to agency overload and litigation
Technical Quality Centralization of permits in the licensing agency Harms autonomy of specialized agencies Lower quality analyses in critical areas

Source: Adapted from Agência GOV (2025).

Table 4 Summary (English): This table outlines key presidential vetoes to Brazil's new General Environmental Licensing Law, categorized by government principles. It details vetoed provisions, official justifications (unconstitutionality, violation of precaution principle, infringement on indigenous rights), and analyzes potential socio-environmental risks if vetoes were overturned, such as self-licensing for impactful activities and weakened protections for indigenous communities. Source: Agência GOV (2025).

Scene III: The "Poison Package" Law (Law 14.785/2023) — Regulatory Capture Consummated

The sanction of Law 14.785/2023, popularly known as the "Poison Package," represents the most explicit regulatory capture in Brazilian environmental history. The new law subverted the previous tripartite model, where MAPA, ANVISA (health), and IBAMA (environment) had equivalent veto power, concentrating decision-making power in the Ministry of Agriculture — an agency historically more permeable to agribusiness interests.

The overturning of crucial vetoes by Congress on May 9, 2024, consolidated this capture. More seriously: the law replaced the clear prohibition of carcinogenic products with a nebulous criterion of "unacceptable risk" — an open door for convenient interpretations.

These three milestones are not isolated legislations — they are pieces of a coordinated political project. While the Temporal Framework deconstructs the protection of traditional territories, the Licensing Law facilitates the approval of impactful projects, and the Poison Package eliminates sanitary barriers. Together, they form a legal system of institutionalized devastation.

The pattern is systematic: projects approved with broad majorities, presidential vetoes overturned by Congress, and the progressive neutralization of technical agencies in favor of purely economic criteria. This is democracy serving environmental anti-democracy. [Learn more...)(https://resck.github.io/Takwara-Tech/o-pl-da-devastacao/)


ACT III: The Biophysical Response — A Nation on Fire

While the environmental legal framework is systematically dismantled, Brazilian ecosystems respond with unequivocal signs of stress and collapse. The forest fire crisis — which reached unprecedented proportions in 2024 — is the most dramatic manifestation of this rupture between politics and nature. Fire, which should be an exception, became the rule; what should be control, turned into chaos.

Scene I: The New Fire Regime — When Exception Becomes Norm

The Scale of the Documented Catastrophe

Between 1985 and 2024, fire consumed 206 million hectares — almost a quarter of the national territory. The most alarming data: 43% of this devastation occurred only in the last ten years, revealing an exponential acceleration of the pyro-destruction process.

In 2024, the burned area exploded by 79% compared to 2023, reaching the historic record of 30.8 million hectares. To dimension: an area equivalent to the state of São Paulo was consumed by fire in a single year. The Amazon and Cerrado — the two most critical biomes for global climate stability — concentrated 86% of all devastation over the last 40 years.

The Horror of Numbers: When Statistics Become Ecological Genocide

In the Amazon, 17.9 million hectares were carbonized, with a growing proportion reaching intact primary forests — those that should never burn. It is no longer about fire in already degraded areas: it is the destruction of what remained pristine on the planet.

Table 5: Overview of Fires in Brazil by Biome (2023-2024)

Biome Burned Area (million ha) 2023 Burned Area (million ha) 2024 Variation % Fire Hotspots 2023 Fire Hotspots 2024 Variation %
Amazon 9.8 17.9 +82.7% 93,938 134,979 +43.7%
Cerrado 6.0 10.5 +75.0% N/A N/A +64.2%
Pantanal 0.5 1.2 +140.0% N/A N/A +139.0%
Atlantic Forest N/A 0.6 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Caatinga N/A 0.05 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Pampa N/A 0.003 N/A N/A N/A N/A
TOTAL BRAZIL 17.2 30.8 +79.1% N/A N/A N/A

Sources: Adapted from MapBiomas (2025) and INPE/WWF-Brasil (2024).

Table 5 Summary (English): This table provides a comparative overview of catastrophic wildfires in Brazil's biomes between 2023 and 2024, quantifying burned areas and fire hotspots. It documents a dramatic nationwide intensification, with the Amazon showing an 82.7% increase and the Pantanal a shocking 140% increase in burned area, underscoring Brazil's unprecedented fire crisis. Source: MapBiomas (2025), INPE/WWF-Brasil (2024).

Scene II: The Carbon Bomb — When Brazil Becomes a Global Chimney

The Quantification of the Atmospheric Apocalypse

In 2024, Brazilian fires released a record 180 megatons of carbon into the atmosphere. In the Amazon alone, between June and August, there were 31.5 million tons of CO₂e — a 60% increase over 2023. But official numbers hide the true horror: the "carbon legacy" of billions of dead trees decomposing, which will continue poisoning the atmosphere for decades.

Table 6: Estimated GHG Emissions from Fires in Brazil (MtCO₂e)

Biome Emissions 2023 Emissions 2024 Legacy Emissions (5-10 years) Historical LUCF Contribution (%)
Amazon \~500 >800 2,000-4,000 24%
Cerrado \~200 >350 500-1,000 26%
Pantanal \~20 >50 100-200 30%
Other Biomes \~30 >50 N/A N/A
TOTAL BRAZIL \~750 >1,250 2,600-5,200 N/A

Sources: Adapted from SEEG (2023), IPAM (2024), and CAMS (2024).

Table 6 Summary (English): This table presents estimated GHG emissions from Brazilian wildfires, revealing the true scale of the climate catastrophe. Beyond immediate emissions (which increased 67% in 2024), "legacy emissions" from decomposing dead trees will continue poisoning the atmosphere for decades, potentially adding 2.6-5.2 billion tons of CO₂e over the coming decade. Sources: SEEG (2023), IPAM (2024), CAMS (2024).

The Scandal of Carbon Accounting

Brazil's real emissions are systematically underreported in official inventories. Methodological gaps allow the exclusion of human-caused fires, forest degradation, and small-scale deforestation — precisely the processes that are growing the most. It is creative accounting applied to the end of the world.

Scene III: The Domino Effect — From Mass Extinction to National Insecurity

The Genocide of Biodiversity

In the Amazon, 90% of plant and vertebrate animal species were impacted by fires. In the Pantanal, the 2020 fires killed 17 million vertebrate animals — a biological holocaust unparalleled in documented history.

The Collapse of Ecosystem Services

The degradation of the Cerrado threatens national water security: eight of Brazil's twelve hydrographic regions originate in the biome. Meanwhile, smoke from fires causes a continental public health crisis, with hospitalizations soaring and health systems collapsing.

INTERLUDE III: When Nature Declares War on Man

The numbers don't lie: Brazil is not just on fire — it is being systematically incinerated. Every burned hectare represents the failure of a development model that treats nature as an enemy to be conquered.

The fire devastating our biomes is only the most visible symptom of a deeper disease: the complete rupture between society and nature. While parliamentarians overturn vetoes and businessmen celebrate profits, the Brazilian Earth burns — and its smoke rises to the heavens as a cry for help that our institutions refuse to hear.


ACT IV: The Bamboo Paradox — The Green Gold That Became Fuel for Destruction

The groundbreaking research by Dr. Sonaira Silva (UFAC) uncovers one of the most perverse ecological feedback loops ever documented in the Amazon. Fires intensified by extreme droughts cause mass tree mortality, allowing the explosive expansion of native Guadua bamboo. This, ironically, increases forest flammability and suppresses the regeneration of other species, trapping the ecosystem in a permanently degraded state. Bamboo — traditionally seen as a sustainable solution — becomes an agent in the perpetuation of devastation.

Scene I: When Nature Turns Against Itself

The Science of Ecological Collapse

Silva et al.'s data reveal a radical transformation in the Amazonian forest structure. Forests that have suffered fires experience a complete inversion of ecological dominance: trees, which should dominate the canopy, are replaced by dense bamboo thickets that prevent any future arboreal regeneration.

Table 7: Ecological Impact of Fire on Bamboo Forests in the Amazon

Metric Undisturbed Forest Forest Burned 1x Forest Burned 2x Total Variation
Live Tree Density (ind/ha) 611 307 157 -74%
Bamboo Culm Density (culms/ha) \~600 \~5,000 >5,000 +733%
Reduction in Above-Ground Biomass 0% -27% to -49% -27% to -49% Up to -49%
Bamboo Contribution to AGB 1% N/A 27% +2,600%

Sources: Adapted from data from Dr. Sonaira Silva (UFAC, 2020; Silva et al., 2021).

Table 7 Summary (English): This table quantifies the ecological catastrophe where fire transforms Amazon forests into bamboo-dominated wastelands. It documents how repeated fires reduce tree density by 74% while causing an explosive 733% increase in bamboo density, creating a degraded ecosystem trapped in permanent inflammability. The bamboo contribution to remaining biomass jumps from 1% to 27%, illustrating complete ecological dominance reversal. Source: Research by Dr. Sonaira Silva (UFAC, 2020; Silva et al., 2021).

The Mechanism of the Ecological Trap

Guadua bamboo possesses characteristics that transform it into an agent in the perpetuation of degradation:

  • High flammability when dry, creating abundant fuel

  • Explosive growth post-fire, preventing arboreal regeneration

  • Competitive dominance that suppresses native species

  • Positive feedback loop with fire

ACT V: The Orphan Waste Paradox — When Sustainability Becomes Contamination

The revolutionary study by Araújo et al. (2025), published in the Brazilian Journal of Science, exposes a devastating truth about the bamboo production chain: 93% of the carcinogenic impact derives not from the chemicals applied, but from the poor management of contaminated waste. This discovery shatters the myth of industrial processed bamboo's sustainability and reveals a gigantic toxic liability hidden from public opinion.

Scene I: The First Life Cycle Assessment — Toxic Revelations

Using LCA methodology rigorously according to ISO 14040-14044 standards and SimaPro v9.1.0.11 software, the research analyzed 50 6-meter culms in Rio Branco, Acre, documenting that the true environmental crime occurs in the management of post-treatment waste — cutting scraps and discarded culms impregnated with borates and copper sulfate.

Table 8: Toxicological Impact of Artisanal Bamboo Production in the Amazon

Component Quantity (kg) Chemical Formula EU-CLP Classification Carcinogenic Contribution Environmental Persistence
Borax 124.5 Na₂B₄O₇·10H₂O H360FD Cat. 1B* 42% 50-100 years
Boric Acid 83.0 H₃BO₃ H360FD Cat. 1B* 38% 50-100 years
Copper Sulfate 41.5 CuSO₄·5H₂O H410 Aquat. Chronic 1** 13% 25-50 years
Natural Processing 7%
TOTAL CHEMICALS 249.0 Multiple Multiple 93% Generations

*H360FD = "May damage fertility. May damage the unborn child" **H410 = "Very toxic to aquatic life with long lasting effects"

Sources: Adapted from Araújo et al. (2025), Brazilian Journal of Science, v. 4, n. 4, p. 13-28.

Table 8 Summary (English): This groundbreaking study reveals that 93% of carcinogenic impact from bamboo production derives from contaminated solid waste management, not from direct chemical application. Using 249kg of toxic compounds for just 50 culms, the process creates "orphan waste" with 50-100 year environmental persistence, exposing the myth of sustainable bamboo processing and revealing a massive toxic liability hidden from public view. Source: Araújo et al. (2025), Brazilian Journal of Science.

Scene II: The Orphan Waste Scandal

The most shocking discovery: this contaminated waste cannot be composted or reintegrated into the conventional circular economy, becoming "orphan waste" without a sustainable destination. The study estimates a specialized market of US$ 1.55 billion annually just for the pyrolytic recovery of these toxic liabilities — a cost that has never been accounted for in bamboo's "sustainability."

ACT VI: Belém's Green Apocalypse — The COP30 of Climate Apartheid

The COP30 venue exposes the cruelest of ironies: while R$ 1 billion is invested to impress international delegations, 66.7% of the local population remains without basic sanitary sewage. The preparation for the "COP of truth" reproduces exactly the model of climate apartheid it should be fighting.

Scene I: The Geography of Urban Injustice

Table 9: Overview of Urban Injustice in Belém — COP30 Investments vs. Structural Deficits

Metric COP30 Investments Social Reality Discrepancy Climate Impact
Basic Sanitation R$ 1 billion invested 66.7% without sewage 500k beneficiaries vs 1.5 million vulnerable Waterborne diseases + floods
Human Development "Bioeconomy projects" HDI: 0.646 (critical deficit) "Showcase" vs basic education Low adaptive capacity
Social Vulnerability "Symbolic participation" SVI: 0.566 ("Very High") Commissions vs real vulnerability Limited resilience
Urban Security Temporary policing 25.8 homicides/100k Security for tourists Violence + climate risk
Infant Mortality Tourist infrastructure 15.0/1000 births Health for visitors Children + vulnerable

Sources: "Belém-PA: The Green Apocalypse" (2025), PNUD (2013), IPEA (2015), Public Security Yearbook (2025).

Table 9 Summary (English): This table exposes the brutal urban injustice of COP30 preparations in Belém, where over R$1 billion creates climate adaptation infrastructure for international visitors while 1.5 million locals remain without basic sanitation. The city hosting the "COP of truth" maintains "Very High Social Vulnerability" (0.566), revealing how climate events become luxury showcases while local communities face amplified climate risks through structural racism and environmental apartheid. Source: "Belém-PA: The Green Apocalypse" (2025).

Scene II: Climate Maladaptation as State Policy

The preparation for COP30 materializes the concept of "climate maladaptation" — investments that, although labeled as sustainable, amplify existing inequalities and vulnerabilities. The city center receives high-standard infrastructure for international delegations, while the peripheries — where the majority of the black and indigenous population lives — remain exposed to floods, heatwaves, and diseases from inadequate sanitation.

This model consecrates environmental racism in reinforced concrete: the negative impacts of climate fall disproportionately on racialized communities, while the benefits of adaptation are concentrated in already privileged areas.

INTERLUDE IV: The Theater of Paradoxes

Three paradoxes reveal themselves with devastating scientific clarity:

  1. The Bamboo that Destroys: "Green gold" becomes fuel for forest destruction

  2. Toxic Sustainability: "Ecological" processes generate carcinogenic waste for generations

  3. Excluding Adaptation: COP30 amplifies vulnerabilities it should reduce

Each paradox exposes the abyssal distance between discourse and reality in Brazilian environmental policy. While promising to lead the global bioeconomy, the country produces systems that destroy exactly what they should protect.


ACT VII: The Regulatory Vacuum — When the State Abandons Its Own Laws

Brazil's environmental crisis is exacerbated by chronic and deliberate governmental inaction. The non-regulation of two public policies approved over a decade ago has created a legal limbo that stifles grassroots innovation and perpetuates destructive models. This vacuum is not mere negligence — it is institutionalized sabotage of sustainable development.

Scene I: The PNRS — 15 Years of Promises That Became Trash

Promulgated in 2010, Law nº 12.305 (National Solid Waste Policy) has become a "regulatory ghost." Fifteen years later, Brazil still dumps 39% of its waste in inappropriate destinations, while reverse logistics remain dead letter in the Constitution.

Table 10: The Systemic Failure of the PNRS (2010-2025)

Indicator PNRS Goal (2010) Reality 2025 Deficit/Failure
Elimination of Landfills 100% by 2014 39% inadequate waste 11 years late
Reverse Logistics Operational national system Legal fiction Zero implementation
National Recycling 50% by 2020 13% effective 74% below target
Organic Composting 30% organic waste \< 2% national 93% waste
Integrated Cooperatives National system Total marginalization Systemic exclusion

Sources: ABREMA (2023), Mayer Brown (2022), O Eco (2024).

Table 10 Summary (English): This table documents the systematic failure of Brazil's National Solid Waste Policy (PNRS) over 15 years, showing how ambitious environmental targets became legal fiction. Despite setting clear deadlines, Brazil still dumps 39% of waste inappropriately, maintains only 13% recycling rates versus 50% targets, and has virtually abandoned organic composting, exposing the complete institutional abandonment of sustainable development. Sources: ABREMA (2023), Mayer Brown (2022), O Eco (2024).

The Case of Sérgio Prado and Márcia Macul: Innovators in Limbo

The regulatory paralysis of the PNRS leaves circular economy innovators in a Kafkaesque situation. Architects Sérgio Prado and Márcia Macul developed a revolutionary system to transform waste into building materials using castor bean biopolymer, but remain without legal security or access to credit due to the absence of a regulatory framework.

Scene II: The PNMCB — The Paradox of Wasted Wealth

Law nº 12.484/2011 (National Policy for the Incentive of Bamboo Management) represents a devastating national paradox: Brazil, holding the greatest diversity of bamboos in the Americas (258 native species), imports millions of dollars in plant products while its natural resources rot unmanaged.

Table 11: The Economic Paradox of the PNMCB — Wealth vs. Dependence (2024)

Metric National Potential Current Reality Waste/Lost Opportunity
Native Biodiversity 258 species, 35 genera Zero specific policies Greatest global heritage wasted
Brazilian Exports Potential US$ 1 billion/year **US$ 5,636 (2024)** 99.9994% of potential lost
Bamboo Imports Zero technical need US$ 68.5 million chemicals Artificial dependence created
Chemical Contamination Avoidable with saturated steam 59,014 tons (2000-2025) 25 years of toxic liability
Family Cooperatives 217,000 active people Zero institutional support Social inclusion sabotaged

Sources: MDIC (2024), COP30 Dossier (2025), Unsustainable Treatment (2025).

Table 11 Summary (English): This table exposes Brazil's devastating bamboo paradox: possessing the Americas' largest bamboo biodiversity (258 native species), the country exported only US$5,636 in bamboo materials in 2024 while importing US$68.5 million in toxic chemicals for treatment. This represents the systematic waste of the world's greatest bamboo patrimony and the artificial creation of chemical dependency where technological sovereignty was possible. Sources: MDIC (2024), COP30 Dossier (2025), Unsustainable Treatment (2025).

Documented Corporate Capture

The paralysis of the PNMCB is not accidental. Documents from MAPA's Natural Fibers Sector Chamber (2022) revealed that APROBAMBU and the Parliamentary Front for Bamboo drafted their own regulatory decree, excluding civil society and social movements. This is the most brazen corporate capture in Brazilian environmental history — a minority group drafting the rules of a policy that should benefit millions.

Scene III: The Perverse Inversion — Native Bamboo Becomes a Problem

Without proper management, native Guadua bamboo in the Amazon has become a vector of forest degradation. Research by Dr. Sonaira Silva (UFAC) confirms that unmanaged bamboo forests perpetuate fire cycles that prevent arboreal regeneration. Regulatory omission has transformed potential into tragedy.

Table 12: Costs of the Regulatory Vacuum — PNRS + PNMCB (2010-2025)

Impact of the Vacuum Estimated Cost Dimension of the Problem Institutional Responsibility
Toxic Bamboo Liabilities US$ 1.55 billion 59,014 tons chemicals MMA, MAPA — total omission
Active Landfills R$ 15 billion/year 39% inadequate waste All levels of government
PNRS Opportunity R$ 120 billion Lost circular economy Ministry of Cities
Unnecessary Imports US$ 68.5 million/year Artificial dependence MDIC — failed industrial policy
Forest Degradation Incalculable Unmanaged bamboo forests MMA — political contradiction

Sources: Consolidated from Araújo et al. (2025), ABREMA (2023), MDIC (2024).

Table 12 Summary (English): This table quantifies the devastating costs of Brazil's 15-year regulatory vacuum, revealing US$1.55 billion in toxic bamboo waste, R$15 billion annually from inadequate waste disposal, and R$120 billion in lost circular economy opportunities. The institutional abandonment of two key environmental laws created artificial dependencies, environmental degradation, and massive economic waste across multiple government levels. Sources: Araújo et al. (2025), ABREMA (2023), MDIC (2024).

INTERLUDE VII: The State Against Itself

The regulatory vacuum of the PNRS and PNMCB is not negligence — it is deliberate sabotage of sustainable development. While Brazil spends millions on green marketing for COP30, it keeps two of its most powerful tools paralyzed by pure political omission.

The result: unsupported innovators, uncredited cooperatives, accumulating orphan waste, native bamboo becoming a problem, and unnecessary chemical dependence of US$ 68.5 million annually. This is the Brazilian State sabotaging its own sustainable future.

ACT VIII: Discourse vs. Reality — When Performance Becomes State Policy

This final act exposes the architecture of institutional disinformation: how official narratives are constructed to mask systemic failures, how metrics are manipulated to create illusions of success, and how the State itself becomes the protagonist of its own environmental farce. Here, the abyssal distance between rhetoric and reality in Brazilian environmental policy is revealed.

Scene I: The Creative Accounting of Destruction — When Numbers Lie

The Trick of Selective Metrics

In an interview with Flow Podcast (2023), Minister Marina Silva emphasized the 49.5% reduction in clear-cut deforestation as the main metric of success. However, this narrative is systematically destroyed by the 79% increase in total burned area in the same period. The strategy is clear: use a favorable metric to obscure a much larger crisis of forest degradation by fire.

Table 13: The Manipulation of Metrics — Deforestation vs. Fires (2023-2024)

Official Metric Government Narrative Scientific Reality Distortion of Truth
Clear-Cut Deforestation "49.5% reduction" Focus on specific area Omits 79% increase in fires
Total Degraded Area Not officially disclosed 30.8 million ha burned Crucial metric hidden
Carbon Emissions "Emissions reduction" >1,250 MtCO₂e from fire 67% real increase omitted
Degradation vs. Regeneration "Forests recovering" 163% increase in degradation Complete inversion of facts
Bamboo as a Solution "Promising bioeconomy" Bamboo turns into fuel Omission of the central paradox

Sources: Flow Podcast (2023), MapBiomas (2025), IPAM (2024), Fapesp (2023).

Table 13 Summary (English): This table exposes the systematic manipulation of environmental metrics by Brazilian government, showing how selective focus on "deforestation reduction" (49.5%) conceals catastrophic increases in total burned area (79%), carbon emissions (67% increase), and forest degradation (163% increase). This represents institutional gaslighting where environmental agencies promote success narratives while environmental catastrophe accelerates. Sources: Flow Podcast (2023), MapBiomas (2025), IPAM (2024), Fapesp (2023).

The Anatomy of Institutional Disinformation

The governmental strategy operates on three levels of manipulation:

  1. Metric Selectivity: Highlight only favorable data

  2. Systematic Omission: Hide crisis indicators

  3. Inverted Narrative: Present problems as solutions

Scene II: The Bioeconomy's Blind Spot — Brazil's Most Expensive Omission

Bioeconomy Policy That Ignores Its Greatest Threat

The governmental vision for the Amazonian bioeconomy, focused on açaí and Brazil nuts, commits the most expensive omission in Brazilian environmental history: it completely ignores bamboo. Not only as wasted productive potential (US$ 68.5 million imported annually), but as an active agent of destruction of the resource base it intends to value.

Table 14: The Schizophrenic Bioeconomy — Investments vs. Critical Omissions

Sector/Product Public Investment Real Potential Ignored Obstacle Cost of Omission
Açaí R$ 500 million (2023-2024) 100,000 producers Fires destroy palm groves Lost investment
Brazil Nut R$ 200 million (credit lines) 50,000 families Brazil nut trees die in fire Interrupted chains
Native Bamboo Zero investment **US$ 1 billion potential** Bamboo turned into fuel Greatest lost opportunity
"Sustainable" Timber R$ 1.2 billion (BNDES) FSC management Millennial trees cut Contradiction with COP30
Solid Waste Zero structure R$ 120 billion circular economy PNRS without regulation Entire system lost

Sources: Embrapa (2023), MDIC (2023), MDIC (2024), BNDES (2024).

Table 14 Summary (English): This table exposes Brazil's schizophrenic bioeconomy policy, investing R$1.9 billion in sectors systematically destroyed by unmanaged fires while completely ignoring bamboo (US$1 billion potential) and circular economy (R$120 billion potential). The government promotes açaí while fires destroy palm groves, invests in "sustainable" logging while cutting millennial trees, creating the world's most contradictory environmental policy. Sources: Embrapa (2023), MDIC (2023, 2024), BNDES (2024).

Scene III: The Rhetoric of Protection vs. The Legislative Massacre

The Executive Beaten by the Legislature

The robust discourse of environmental protection was systematically massacred in the legislative field. The Lula government suffered consecutive and humiliating defeats:

Table 15: The Scoreboard of Defeats — Executive vs. Anti-Environmental Legislature (2023-2024)

Legislative Milestone Executive Position Final Result Vetoes Overturned Real Impact
Temporal Framework Total veto Law approved 100% vetoes overturned Indigenous lands threatened
Poison Package 63 vetoes 9 vetoes overturned 14% resistance lost ANVISA subordinated to MAPA
Licensing Law 63 vetoes Law sanctioned Vetoes maintained Weakened licensing
Environmental Budget Proposed increase Cuts approved Irrelevant MMA defunded
SNUC Modifications Resistance Approved N/A Vulnerable conservation units

Sources: Câmara dos Deputados (2023), Senado Federal (2023), Congresso Nacional (2024), Agência Brasil (2023).

Table 15 Summary (English): This table documents the systematic legislative massacre of Lula government's environmental agenda, showing complete defeat on Indigenous Land Temporal Framework (100% of vetoes overturned), significant losses on pesticide regulation (14% of vetoes overturned), and systematic defunding of environmental agencies. The Executive's environmental discourse was systematically destroyed by a hostile Congress, exposing the complete powerlessness of environmental protection in Brazilian democracy. Sources: Câmara dos Deputados (2023), Senado Federal (2023), Congresso Nacional (2024), Agência Brasil (2023).

Documented Institutional Emptying

The emptying of the attributions of the Ministry of Environment and the Ministry of Indigenous Peoples was systematic and brutal:

  • Budget cut by 40% in real terms

  • Technical staff marginalized in decisions

  • Veto power eliminated in licensing

  • Institutional autonomy destroyed

Scene IV: COP30 — The Apex of Performance

When Farce Becomes a Global Event

COP30 represents the apex of Brazilian performance: a country that systematically destroys its own natural resources while promises to lead the global bioeconomy. Belém — a city with 66.7% of its population without sanitation — will receive R$ 1 billion to impress international delegations.

The political schizophrenia reaches its climax: while the President promises at the UN to be the "COP of truth," Congress systematically overturns all environmental protection, native bamboo becomes fuel for fires, and 93% of the carcinogenic impact of processed bamboo comes from poorly managed waste.

Scene V: The "Sustainable" Management of Millennial Trees — Brazil's Most Expensive Green Hypocrisy

The Mathematics of Unsustainability

While the Brazilian government promises at COP30 to be a world leader in bioeconomy, it maintains a "sustainable forest management" policy that authorizes the felling of centennial and potentially millennial trees with "recovery" cycles of only 25 to 35 years. This is the most brutal contradiction of Brazilian environmental policy: calling sustainable a system that destroys in decades what nature took centuries or millennia to build.

CONAMA Resolution 406/2009 establishes that gigantic trees in the Amazon — some over 500 years old — can be cut with the promise that the area will "recover" in 35 years. The math is simple: cutting a 500-year-old tree and waiting 35 years for "recovery" is not sustainable management — it is programmed devastation.

Table 16: The "Sustainable Management" Scandal — Destruction vs. "Recovery"

Technical Parameter Legal Standard (CONAMA 406/2009) Biological Reality Scientific Contradiction
"Recovery" Cycle 25-35 years 200-800+ years for maturity 2,185% difference
Trees Cut/ha 4-6 specimens Centennial/millennial trees Irreversible biomass loss
Extracted Volume 30 m³/ha per cycle Intact forest structure Degradation vs. integrity
"Sustainability" "Renewable" every 35 years Effectively finite resources Impossible renewal
Scientific Basis Secondary growth Complexity of primary forest 90% biodiversity reduction

Sources: CONAMA 406/2009, Brazilian Forest Service (2025), Federal Government (2024).

Table 16 Summary (English): This table exposes Brazil's most expensive environmental hypocrisy: calling "sustainable management" the cutting of centennial/millennial Amazon trees with 25-35 year "recovery" cycles. The practice represents a 2,185% temporal mismatch between destruction time and actual forest maturity, revealing systematic environmental fraud masked as scientific policy. Sources: CONAMA 406/2009, Brazilian Forest Service (2025), Federal Government (2024).

The Legalized Scientific Crime

The "sustainable forest management" of the Amazon is a legalized scientific crime. Trees like mahogany, ipe, cedar, and Brazil nut, which can live for more than 800 years and reach reproductive maturity only after 150-200 years, are cut with the promise that 35 years of "rest" will be enough for "recovery."

The terminology itself reveals the farce: calling "rest" a period that is less than 5% of the natural lifespan of these species is semantic perversion that hides systematic devastation. A Brazil nut tree cut in 2025 should theoretically be "replaced" by another in 2060 — but the original tree took 400-600 years to reach its size and reproductive capacity.

Documented Ministerial Hypocrisy

The Ministry of Environment develops sophisticated regulatory frameworks to legitimize this destruction, while maintaining total omission regarding the potential of native Amazonian bamboo. The same Marina Silva who promotes "sustainable management" of millennial trees completely ignores the 4.5 million hectares of native bamboo forests that could be truly sustainably managed.

Table 17: Regulatory Hypocrisy — Timber vs. Bamboo in the Amazon

Regulatory Aspect Native Timber (CONAMA 406/2009) Native Amazonian Bamboo
Regulatory Framework Detailed resolution Non-existent
Cutting Cycle 25-35 years (insufficient) 3-5 years (real sustainability)
Maturity Time 200-800 years 3-5 years
Natural Regeneration Impossible in established cycle Automatic and explosive
Impact on Biodiversity Devastating and permanent Regenerative
Public Investment R$ 1.2 billion (BNDES 2024) Zero
Ministerial Policy Actively promoted Completely ignored

Sources: CONAMA 406/2009, BNDES (2024), COP30 Dossier (2025).

Table 17 Summary (English): This table exposes the regulatory hypocrisy where Brazil creates sophisticated frameworks to legitimize cutting millennial trees with impossible recovery cycles while completely ignoring truly sustainable native bamboo that regenerates naturally in 3-5 years. The government invests R$1.2 billion in "sustainable" logging while bamboo receives zero support, revealing deliberate policy choices favoring destruction over regeneration. Sources: CONAMA 406/2009, BNDES (2024), COP30 Dossier (2025).

Scene VI: The Math That Doesn't Add Up — When "Sustainable" Becomes an Insult to Intelligence

CONAMA Resolution 406/2009 establishes an exploitation intensity of up to 30 m³/ha every 35 years, without accounting for:

  • Impact of clearing openings on the forest microclimate

  • Destruction of the mycorrhizal network that sustains the ecosystem

  • Loss of nests and habitats of specialized fauna

  • Soil compaction by heavy machinery

  • Fragmentation of forest connectivity

This is not sustainable management — it is industrial exploitation disguised as conservation, legitimized by technical bureaucracy that ignores ecological reality.

The Farce of "35 Years of Recovery"

A mahogany tree cut today, 400 years old and 80 meters tall, will be "replaced" in 2060 by a seedling that, in the best-case scenario, will be 10 meters and 15 years old. Calling this "recovery" is an insult to intelligence and institutionalized scientific fraud.

Brazil will arrive at COP30 promoting this model of legalized devastation as an example of "sustainable management," while ignoring bamboo that actually regenerates in 3-5 years and offers the same products without irreversible destruction.

INTERLUDE VIII: The Brazilian Green Schizophrenia

ACT VIII reveals the complete schizophrenia of Brazilian environmental policy:

  1. Manipulated Metrics: Celebrating deforestation reduction while 79% more area burns

  2. Blind Bioeconomy: Ignoring bamboo that destroys the bioeconomy's foundation

  3. Legislative Defeats: Environmental discourse massacred by Congress

  4. Fraudulent Management: Calling the destruction of millennial trees "sustainable"

The "COP of truth" will reveal this uncomfortable truth: Brazil possesses all the solutions to lead the global green economy, but deliberately chooses to destroy its own tools of transformation.

While promising revolutionary bioeconomy, it maintains chemical dependence of US$ 68.5 million annually. While cutting 500-year-old trees, it ignores bamboo that regenerates in 5 years. While investing R$ 1 billion in COP30**, it leaves 1.5 million people without sanitation** in the host city.

This is not incompetence — it is a deliberate political choice to sabotage its own potential in the name of interests that profit from destruction.

FINAL INTERLUDE: The Truth About the "COP of Truth"

The "COP of truth" will involuntarily reveal the truth about environmental Brazil:

  • Grand rhetoric, catastrophic reality

  • Manipulated metrics, accelerated degradation

  • Facade investments, structural problems ignored

  • Fantastical bioeconomy, real chemical dependence

  • Schizophrenic state, contradictory policies

Brazil will arrive at COP30 as the most perfect example of how not to do environmental policy: a country that has all the conditions to lead the global sustainable transition, but deliberately chooses to destroy its own tools of transformation.


EPILOGUE: The Open Act — The Future Under Construction

This piece documents not just a crisis, but a national choice. Brazil has all the resources, knowledge, and tools to lead the global bioeconomy, but deliberately chooses to sabotage its own potential.

The citizen science represented in this repository is an invitation to the collective rewriting of this narrative. Every signature on the petition, every share, every concrete action is an act of resistance against the performance of self-destruction.

The future is not written. It is being written. By us.

Sign the Petition: Regulation of the Bamboo Law

The Bio-revolution is Green and Yellow: Bamboo and Castor Bean

This piece ends, but the action begins. The stage is now yours.


BILL Nº 13.333/2025

Synopsis: Regulates Law No. 12,484, of September 8, 2011, which establishes the National Policy for the Incentive of Sustainable Management and Cultivation of Bamboo (PNMCB), defines its governance structure, toxicological safety standards and life cycle control, and makes other provisions.

The National Congress decrees:

CHAPTER I - GENERAL PROVISIONS

Art. 1º This Law regulates Law No. 12,484, of September 8, 2011, to establish the mechanisms, governance structures, promotion programs, toxicological safety standards, and monitoring systems necessary for the execution of the National Policy for the Incentive of Sustainable Management and Cultivation of Bamboo - PNMCB.

CHAPTER II - GOVERNANCE OF THE NATIONAL BAMBOO POLICY

Art. 2º The Management Committee of the National Policy for the Incentive of Sustainable Management and Cultivation of Bamboo (CG-PNMCB) is hereby established as a collegiate body with advisory and deliberative character, linked to the Chief of Staff of the Presidency of the Republic, with the objective of coordinating, monitoring, and evaluating the implementation of the PNMCB.

§ 1º The CG-PNMCB shall have an equal composition between the Public Sector and civil society, ensuring the representation of: I - One representative from each of the following Federal Executive Branch bodies: a) Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock; b) Ministry of Agrarian Development and Family Agriculture; c) Ministry of Environment and Climate Change; d) Ministry of Science, Technology, and Innovation; e) Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce, and Services; f) National Health Surveillance Agency - ANVISA.

II - One representative from the Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation - Embrapa;

III - Representatives from civil society, ensuring seats for: a) Higher education and research institutions with renowned expertise in the area; b) Entities representing family agriculture and extractive communities; c) Entities representing the business sector with proven democratic basis; d) Non-governmental organizations active in the environmental and bioeconomy fields.

CHAPTER III - TOXICOLOGICAL SAFETY AND QUALITY CONTROL

Art. 3º The National Bamboo Toxicological Control System (SNCT-Bamboo) is hereby established, under the joint coordination of ANVISA and IBAMA, with the following objectives:

I - Regulate and inspect all chemical treatments applied to bamboo, establishing maximum limits for toxic residues in final products;

II - Monitor the complete life cycle of chemical compounds used, from application to the final disposal of waste;

III - Establish mandatory protocols for alternative non-chemical treatments, prioritizing saturated steam and other clean methods;

IV - Create a traceability system that allows identifying the origin, applied treatments, and waste disposal throughout the production chain.

§ 1º All chemical products used in bamboo treatment must have specific registration with ANVISA for this purpose, with studies on human health and environmental impact.

§ 2º The use of compounds classified as carcinogenic (categories 1A and 1B of the EU-CLP classification) is prohibited in bamboo treatments intended for direct human contact products.

§ 3º Contaminated waste (scraps, sawdust, discarded culms) must have controlled disposal, and its use in common composting, open burning, or inadequate disposal is prohibited.

Art. 4º Chemical Treatments - Transition Regime:

I - A period of 24 months is established for existing activities to comply with the norms of this System;

II - During the transition period, producers must declare to ANVISA all compounds used, quantities, and waste disposal;

III - Technical and financial support will be made available for migration to non-chemical or low-impact methods.

CHAPTER IV - INSTRUMENTS FOR PROMOTION AND DEVELOPMENT

Art. 5º Official financial institutions shall establish, within 180 days, credit lines in accordance with Art. 4º, item I, of Law No. 12,484/2011, prioritizing:

I - Family Agriculture and Sustainable Management: Subsidized interest rates for native bamboo management, agroforestry systems, clean processing equipment;

II - Technological Conversion: Special financing for the replacement of chemical treatments with sustainable methods;

III - Cooperatives and Associations: Collective credit for the implementation of saturated steam treatment centers.

Art. 6º The National Program for Technological Sovereignty and Innovation in Bamboo (PNSTI-Bamboo) is hereby established, with the following axes:

I - Domestication and Improvement of Native Species: Mapping and characterization of the 258 Brazilian species;

II - Development of Clean Technologies: Research and development of non-chemical treatment methods and national equipment;

III - Saturated Steam Treatment: Establishment of regional demonstration and training centers;

IV - South-South Cooperation: Technological exchange with Latin American countries specializing in Guadua and other native species.

CHAPTER V - CERTIFICATION AND TRACEABILITY

Art. 7º The "Bambu Limpo Brasil" Seal is hereby created, certifying products that cumulatively meet:

I - Controlled origin: Sustainable management or responsible cultivation; II - Safe treatment: Non-chemical or registered low-impact chemical methods; III - Adequate disposal: Waste with environmentally correct disposal; IV - Social justice: Participation of family agriculture and decent working conditions.

Art. 8º National Bamboo Traceability System:

I - All commercialized bamboo must bear identification of origin and treatment methods used; II - Imported products must prove compliance with Brazilian toxicological standards; III - Public database will allow consultation of information by consumers and supervisory bodies.

CHAPTER VI - CONTROL OF IMPORTS AND TECHNOLOGICAL SOVEREIGNTY

Art. 9º Progressive Substitution of Imports:

I - Target of 50% reduction in imports of chemical products for bamboo treatment in 5 years; II - Tax incentives for national production of clean processing equipment; III - Market reserve for national technologies in government purchases.

CHAPTER VII - FINAL AND TRANSITIONAL PROVISIONS

Art. 10º The CG-PNMCB will be installed within 90 days of the publication of this Law, and must present a National Implementation Plan within 180 days.

Art. 11º The resources for the implementation of this Law will be ensured through: I - Specific budgetary allocations in the involved bodies; II - Toxicological Control Fee on imports of chemical products for bamboo; III - Percentage of CFEM collection allocated to bioeconomy projects.

Art. 12º This Law comes into force 90 days after its publication.


JUSTIFICATION

This Bill consolidates 14 years of governmental omission regarding one of the most strategic policies for Brazilian sustainable development. The regulation of the PNMCB is not just an environmental issue, but a matter of national sovereignty, social justice, and sanitary security.

The inclusion of ANVISA as a central regulatory body directly responds to the scientific findings of Araújo et al. (2025), which demonstrated that 93% of the carcinogenic impact of industrialized bamboo derives from the poor management of toxic waste. The creation of the National Toxicological Control System (Art. 3º) establishes rigorous monitoring mechanisms that will protect both workers and final consumers.

The 24-month transition regime (Art. 4º) allows for gradual adaptation of the sector, while technical and financial support for technological conversion ensures that small producers are not penalized by the paradigm shift.

The creation of the "Bambu Limpo Brasil" Seal (Art. 7º) and the National Traceability System (Art. 8º) will position the country as a world leader in sustainable bamboo, creating a competitive advantage based on quality and socio-environmental responsibility.

More importantly: this project breaks the cycle of chemical dependence that cost the country US$ 68.5 million in unnecessary imports in 2024, while generating 59,014 tons of toxic waste in 25 years.

The goal of a 50% reduction in chemical imports (Art. 9º) in 5 years is technically and economically viable, considering that saturated steam treatment can replace virtually all imported compounds.

Ladies and Gentlemen Parliamentarians, this is not just a project about bamboo — it is about what kind of country we want to be. A country that is technologically sovereign or dependent? Environmentally responsible or polluting? Socially inclusive or exclusive?

The answer is in our hands. And the time to act is now.

MAIN REFERENCES

ARAÚJO, Carlos Eduardo Santos et al. Life cycle assessment of the artisanal bamboo pole (Guadua angustifolia) production in the Brazilian Amazon. Brazilian Journal of Science, v. 4, n. 4, p. 13-28, 2025. https://periodicos.cerradopub.com.br/bjs/article/view/719

ASSOCIAÇÃO BRASILEIRA DE NORMAS TÉCNICAS. NBR 6023: information and documentation – references – elaboration. Rio de Janeiro: ABNT, 2018.

ASSOCIAÇÃO BRASILEIRA DE RESÍDUOS E MEIO AMBIENTE. Panorama dos Resíduos Sólidos no Brasil 2023. São Paulo: ABREMA, 2023.

BOLOGNA, Mauro; AQUINO, Gerardo. Deforestation and world population sustainability: a quantitative analysis. Scientific Reports, v. 10, n. 1, p. 7631, 2020. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-63657-6.

BRASIL. Law nº 12.305, of August 2, 2010. Establishes the National Solid Waste Policy; amends Law nº 9.605, of February 12, 1998; and makes other provisions. Diário Oficial da União: section 1, Brasília, DF, p. 3, Aug. 3, 2010.

BRASIL. Law nº 12.484, of September 8, 2011. Provides for the National Policy for the Incentive of Sustainable Management and Cultivation of Bamboo – PNMCB, and makes other provisions. Diário Oficial da União: section 1, Brasília, DF, p. 1, Sep. 9, 2011.

BRASIL. Law nº 14.701, of October 20, 2023. Regulates art. 231 of the Federal Constitution, to provide for the recognition, demarcation, use, and management of indigenous lands, and makes other provisions. Diário Oficial da União: section 1, Brasília, DF, p. 1, Oct. 23, 2023.

BRASIL. Law nº 14.785, of December 27, 2023. Provides for the research, experimentation, production, packaging, labeling, transport, storage, commercialization, use, import, export, final destination of waste and packaging, registration, classification, control, inspection, and supervision of pesticides, their components and related products, and makes other provisions. Diário Oficial da União: section 1, Brasília, DF, p. 28, Dec. 28, 2023.


GOVERNMENT AND INSTITUTIONAL SOURCES

AGÊNCIA BRASIL. Brazil concentrates 71.9% of wildfires in South America in the last 48h. Agência Brasil, Brasília, 2024. Available at: https://agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br/geral/noticia/2024-09/brasil-concentra-719-das-queimadas-na-america-do-sul-nas-ultimas-48h. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

AGÊNCIA BRASIL. Overturning of veto to pesticide law is a threat to health, says entity. Agência Brasil, Brasília, May 9, 2024. Available at: https://agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br/politica/noticia/2024-05/derrubada-de-veto-a-lei-dos-agrotoxicos-e-ameaca-a-saude-diz-entidade. Accessed on: Aug. 19, 2024.

AGÊNCIA BRASIL. Greenhouse gas emissions from Amazon fires grow by 60%. Agência Brasil, Brasília, Sep. 2024. Available at: https://agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br/geral/noticia/2024-09/emissao-de-gases-do-efeito-estufa-por-queimadas-na-amazonia-cresce-60. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

AGÊNCIA GOV. Marina Silva: vetoes in the environmental licensing bill favor investments and development. Agência Gov, Brasília, Aug. 2025. Available at: https://agenciagov.ebc.com.br/noticias/202508/marina-silva-vetos-favorecem-investimentos-e-desenvolvimento. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

BANCO NACIONAL DE DESENVOLVIMENTO ECONÔMICO E SOCIAL. Infographic: how does sustainable forest management work? Blog do Desenvolvimento BNDES, Rio de Janeiro, June 13, 2021. Available at: https://blogdodesenvolvimento.bndes.gov.br/blogdodesenvolvimento/detalhe/Infografico-como-funciona-o-manejo-florestal-sustentavel. Accessed on: Sep. 26, 2025.

CÂMARA DOS DEPUTADOS. Congress overturns veto to the temporal framework of indigenous lands. Agência Câmara de Notícias, Brasília, Dec. 14, 2023. Available at: https://www.camara.leg.br/noticias/1026508-CONGRESSO-DERRUBA-VETO-AO-MARCO-TEMPORAL-DAS-TERRAS-INDIGENAS. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

CONSELHO NACIONAL DO MEIO AMBIENTE. Resolution nº 406, of February 2, 2009. Establishes technical parameters to be adopted in the elaboration, presentation, technical evaluation, and execution of Sustainable Forest Management Plans-PMFS for timber purposes, for native forests and their succession forms in the Amazon biome. Diário Oficial da União: section 1, Brasília, DF, n. 26, p. 100, Feb. 6, 2009.

CONGRESSO NACIONAL. Veto nº 47/2023 - Partial. Brasília: Congresso Nacional, 2024. Available at: https://www.congressonacional.leg.br/materias/vetos/-/veto/detalhe/16209. Accessed on: Aug. 19, 2024.

EMPRESA BRASILEIRA DE PESQUISA AGROPECUÁRIA. Study indicates that degradation affects more than a third of the Amazon Forest. Embrapa, Brasília, 2023. Available at: https://www.embrapa.br/busca-de-noticias/-/noticia/73857588/estudo-aponta-que-a-degradacao-atinge-mais-de-um-terco-da-floresta-amazonica. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

FUNDAÇÃO NACIONAL DOS POVOS INDÍGENAS. Temporal framework returns to the STF agenda: understand why the thesis is unconstitutional and violates the rights of indigenous peoples. FUNAI, Brasília, 2024. Available at: https://www.gov.br/funai/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/2024/marco-temporal-volta-a-pauta-no-stf-entenda-por-que-a-tese-e-inconstitucional-e-viola-os-direitos-dos-povos-indigenas. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2024.

GOVERNO FEDERAL. Forest Management. Portal Gov.br, Brasília, Sep. 24, 2024. Available at: https://www.gov.br/florestal/pt-br/acesso-a-informacao/perguntas-frequentes/manejo-florestal/manejo-florestal. Accessed on: Sep. 26, 2025.

INSTITUTO CHICO MENDES DE CONSERVAÇÃO DA BIODIVERSIDADE. Chico Mendes Institute presents study on the death of 17 million animals in the Pantanal in 2020. Portal Gov.br, Brasília, 2024. Available at: https://www.gov.br/icmbio/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/ultimas-noticias/instituto-chico-mendes-apresenta-estudo-sobre-a-morte-de-17-milhoes-de-animais-no-pantanal-em-2020. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

INSTITUTO DE PESQUISA AMBIENTAL DA AMAZÔNIA. Indigenous Lands in the Brazilian Amazon: carbon reserves and barriers to deforestation. Brasília: IPAM, 2015.

INSTITUTO NACIONAL DE PESQUISAS ESPACIAIS. Queimadas Program: hotspot monitoring. São José dos Campos: INPE, 2024. Available at: https://queimadas.dgi.inpe.br/queimadas/portal. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

MAPBIOMAS. Annual Fire Report - 2024 Edition. São Paulo: MapBiomas, June 24, 2025. Available at: https://brasil.mapbiomas.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2025/06/RAF2024_24.06.2025_v2.pdf. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2025.

MINISTÉRIO DO DESENVOLVIMENTO, INDÚSTRIA, COMÉRCIO E SERVIÇOS. Comex Stat: foreign trade statistics. Brasília: MDIC, 2024. Available at: http://comexstat.mdic.gov.br/pt/home. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

SENADO FEDERAL. Papaléo highlights discovery of castor bean polymer. Agência Senado, Brasília, Aug. 15, 2003. Available at: https://www12.senado.leg.br/noticias/materias/2003/08/15/papaleao-destaca-descoberta-do-polimero-de-mamona. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

SERVIÇO FLORESTAL BRASILEIRO. Management Plans and POAs. Portal Gov.br, Brasília, June 8, 2025. Available at: https://www.gov.br/florestal/pt-br/assuntos/concessoes-e-monitoramento/planos-de-manejo-e-poas. Accessed on: Sep. 26, 2025.


CIVIL SOCIETY ORGANIZATIONS

ARTICULAÇÃO DOS POVOS INDÍGENAS DO BRASIL. The struggle continues: Congress cancels session and vetoes to PL 2903 remain undefined. APIB, Brasília, Nov. 23, 2023. Available at: https://apiboficial.org/2023/11/23/a-luta-continua-congresso-cancela-sessao-e-vetos-ao-pl-2903-seguem-sem-definicao-2/. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

CONSELHO INDIGENISTA MISSIONÁRIO. Report – Violence Against Indigenous Peoples in Brazil – 2024 Data. Brasília: CIMI, July 2025. Available at: https://cimi.org.br/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/relatorio-violencia-povos-indigenas-2024-cimi.pdf. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

CONSELHO INDIGENISTA MISSIONÁRIO. National Congress overturns most of Lula's vetoes to PL 2903 and consolidates the temporal framework. CIMI, Brasília, Dec. 2023. Available at: https://cimi.org.br/2023/12/congresso-nacional-derruba-maioria-dos-vetos-pl2903/. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

FUNDAÇÃO OSWALDO CRUZ. Pesticides: toxicologist talks about changes in the law, risks to health and the environment. Portal Fiocruz, Rio de Janeiro, Mar. 2023. Available at: https://fiocruz.br/noticia/2023/03/agrotoxicos-toxicologista-fala-sobre-mudancas-na-lei-riscos-para-saude-e-meio. Accessed on: Aug. 19, 2024.

INSTITUTO SOCIOAMBIENTAL. Ruralists, opposition and part of the government base overturn Lula's vetoes to the temporal framework. ISA, São Paulo, 2023. Available at: https://www.socioambiental.org/noticias-socioambientais/ruralistas-oposicao-e-parte-da-base-governista-derrubam-vetos-de-lula-ao. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

OBSERVATÓRIO DO CLIMA. Analysis of greenhouse gas emissions and their implications for Brazil's climate targets / 1970-2021. São Paulo: SEEG, Mar. 2023. Available at: https://www.oc.eco.br/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/SEEG-10-anos-v4.pdf. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

TERRA DE DIREITOS. Unconstitutionality of the "Poison Package" law is questioned in a Supreme Federal Court action. Terra de Direitos, Curitiba, 2024. Available at: https://terradedireitos.org.br/noticias/noticias/inconstitucionalidade-da-lei-do-pacote-do-veneno-e-questionada-em-acao-no-supremo-tribunal-federal/24049. Accessed on: Aug. 19, 2024.

WWF-BRASIL. Fire killed 17 million vertebrates in the Pantanal in 2020. WWF Brasil, Brasília, [s.d.]. Available at: https://www.wwf.org.br/?89066/Fogo-matou-17-milhoes-de-vertebrados-no-Pantanal-em-2020. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

WWF-BRASIL. Fires in the main Brazilian biomes concentrated in native vegetation areas in August. WWF Brasil, Brasília, 2024. Available at: https://www.wwf.org.br/?89621/Queimadas-nos-principais-biomas-brasileiros-se-concentraram-em-areas-de-vegetacao-nativa-em-agosto. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.


SCIENTIFIC ARTICLES AND ACADEMIC RESEARCH

FEARNSIDE, Philip Martin. Brazil's real carbon emissions associated with forests may go unnoticed by the Paris Agreement. Mongabay Brasil, São Paulo, July 2, 2018. Available at: https://brasil.mongabay.com/2018/07/as-reais-emissoes-carbono-do-brasil-associadas-florestas-podem-passar-despercebidas-pelo-acordo-paris/. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

PORTELA, Romualdo Corrêa; MENEZES JÚNIOR, Euler Esteves; SILVA, Silvana Dolores. The temporal framework law and the history of land occupation in Brazil. Serviço Social & Sociedade, São Paulo, v. 147, n. 3, e-6628418, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-6628418.

SANTOS, Rafael Silva; GONÇALVES, Ana Luiza. The new temporal framework law and its impacts on the demarcation of indigenous lands. Revista Jurídica, v. 12, n. 1, p. 45-62, 2024.

SILVA, Sonaira Souza da et al. Increasing bamboo dominance in southwestern Amazon forests following intensification of drought-mediated fires. Forest Ecology and Management, v. 490, p. 119139, 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2021.119139.

UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL DO ACRE. Research shows the effect of fire on the degradation of Acre forests. UFAC, Rio Branco, 2020. Available at: https://www.ufac.br/site/noticias/2020/pesquisa-mostra-efeito-do-fogo-na-degradacao-de-florestas-do-acre. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL DE MINAS GERAIS. Fires have already impacted 90% of animal and plant species in the Amazon. UFMG, Belo Horizonte, 2021. Available at: https://ufmg.br/comunicacao/noticias/queimadas-ja-impactaram-90-das-especies-de-animais-e-plantas-da-amazonia. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.


COMMUNICATION VEHICLES

CAPITAL RESET. Why fires in the Cerrado threaten water security. UOL, São Paulo, 2024. Available at: https://capitalreset.uol.com.br/amazonia/desmatamento/por-que-as-queimadas-no-cerrado-ameacam-a-seguranca-hidrica/. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

CLIMAINFO. Brazil in flames 2: emissions from fires grow by 60% in the Amazon. ClimaInfo, São Paulo, Sep. 19, 2024. Available at: https://climainfo.org.br/2024/09/19/brasil-em-chamas-2-emissoes-por-queimadas-crescem-60-na-amazonia/. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

CLIMAINFO. Forest fires break record in Brazil in 2024, MapBiomas shows. IHU Online, São Leopoldo, 2025. Available at: https://www.ihu.unisinos.br/653698-incendios-florestais-batem-recorde-no-brasil-em-2024-mostra-mapbiomas. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2025.

CNN BRASIL. Brazil breaks carbon emission record and has almost 100% more fires in 2024. CNN Brasil, São Paulo, 2024. Available at: https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/nacional/brasil-bate-recorde-de-emissao-de-carbono-e-tem-quase-100-mais-queimadas-em-2024/. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

FLOW PODCAST. Marina Silva - Flow #354. Flow Podcast, São Paulo, 2023. Available at: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XYZ123. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

GRUPO GEN. New pesticide law sanctioned with vetoes and other news. Blog Grupo GEN, Rio de Janeiro, Dec. 28, 2023. Available at: https://blog.grupogen.com.br/juridico/uncategorized/sancionada-nova-lei-dos-agrotoxicos-com-vetos-e-outras-noticias-28-12-2023/. Accessed on: Aug. 19, 2024.

O ECO. National Solid Waste Policy: 14 years of empty promises. O Eco, Rio de Janeiro, 2024. Available at: https://oeco.org.br/noticias/politica-nacional-de-residuos-solidos-14-anos-de-promessas-vazias/. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

SOLUÇÕES INDUSTRIAIS. Annual Fire Report shows recent concentration of fires. Soluções Industriais, São Paulo, 2025. Available at: https://www.solucoesindustriais.com.br/news/saude-seguranca-e-meio-ambiente/relatorio-anual-do-fogo/. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2025.

VEJA. Amazon and Cerrado represent 86% of the burned area in Brazil in the last 40 years, according to report. Veja, São Paulo, 2025. Available at: https://veja.abril.com.br/agenda-verde/amazonia-e-cerrado-representam-86-da-area-queimada-no-brasil-nos-ultimos-40-anos-segundo-relatorio/. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2025.

VIDA RURAL MT. Brazilian bamboo: a great opportunity for sustainable development. Vida Rural MT, Cuiabá, 2024. Available at: https://www.vidaruralmt.com.br/bambu-brasileiro-desenvolvimento-sustentavel/. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.


TECHNICAL DOCUMENTS AND SPECIALIZED REPORTS

ARAÚJO, Carlos Eduardo Santos et al. COP30 Dossier: The usurpation of green gold and the paradox of Brazilian environmental diplomacy. [S.l.: s.n.], 2025.

MAYER BROWN. Circular economy: challenges and trends in waste management and reverse logistics systems. São Paulo: Mayer Brown, Nov. 2022.

RESCK, Fabio Takwara et al. Belém-PA: The Green Apocalypse - Analysis of urban injustice in preparation for COP30. [S.l.: s.n.], 2025.

RESCK, Fabio Takwara. The (Un)sustainable Treatment of Bamboo: dismantling chemical greenwashing and the Brazilian regulatory vacuum. [S.l.: s.n.], 2025.


INSTITUTIONAL WEBSITES AND DIGITAL RESOURCES

CURATORS OF THE EARTH. About Us. [S.l.]: Curadores da Terra, [s.d.]. Available at: https://curadoresda terra.com.br/sobre-nos. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

EDUCAÇÃO E TERRITÓRIO. Brazil is going against the right to a healthy environment. Educação e Território, [S.l.], 2024. Available at: https://educacaoeterritorio.org.br/reportagens/com-seca-e-queimadas-brasil-esta-na-contramao-do-direito-ao-meio-ambiente-saudavel/. Accessed on: Aug. 16, 2024.

ICL NOTÍCIAS. Indigenous murders increase in 2024 and reach 211, Cimi indicates. ICL Notícias, [S.l.], 2025. Available at: https://iclnoticias.com.br/assassinatos-de-indigenas/. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

MUNDO EDUCAÇÃO. Temporal framework: what it is, consequences, and summary. UOL Mundo Educação, São Paulo, 2024. Available at: https://mundoeducacao.uol.com.br/politica/marco-temporal.htm. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

ROSA-LUXEMBURGO. Temporal framework: a threat to indigenous peoples in Brazil. Rosa Luxemburgo Foundation, São Paulo, 2023. Available at: https://rosalux.org.br/marco-temporal-uma-ameaca-aos-povos-indigenas-no-brasil/. Accessed on: Aug. 18, 2025.

Index of Scientific Acts

ACT I: The Global Ultimatum — Civilization's Sustainability at Stake

Mathematical models reveal minimal probabilities of civilizational survival in the face of the pace of deforestation and planetary consumption, urgently framing all subsequent discussions.

INTERLUDE I: Between Science and Politics

Analysis of the coordinated dismantling of protections by three legislations (Temporal Framework, New Pesticide Law, and General Environmental Licensing Law) and the deepening of institutional fragilities and threats to socio-environmental justice.

INTERLUDE II: When Law Becomes a Dead Letter

ACT III: The Biophysical Response — A Nation on Fire

Diagnosis of record fires, carbon footprint, and the national GHG accounting crisis. Maps, tables, and direct impacts on biodiversity, public health, and water security.

INTERLUDE III: Friendly Fire and Nature in Collapse

ACT IV: The Bamboo Paradox — Case Study in Ecological Degradation

Proof of the cycle where native bamboo, intensified by droughts and fire, transforms ecosystems into degraded, flammable states, blocked for regeneration.

INTERLUDE IV: The Burned Green Gold

ACT V: The Orphan Waste Paradox — Case Study in Industrial Contamination

Life cycle assessment of bamboo production reveals that the real carcinogenic impact comes from contaminated waste and not directly from the chemicals applied.

INTERLUDE V: From Circular Economy to Toxic Liability

ACT VI: Belém's Urban Green Apocalypse — Case Study in Urban Injustice

Documents how COP30 created “facade” investments reproducing exclusionary models while millions remain under high climate vulnerability.

INTERLUDE VI: The Concrete Shack and the Climate Carnival

ACT VII: The Regulatory Vacuum — Forgotten Policies and the Delay of Sustainable Development

Critical diagnosis of the inertia in the regulation of PNRS and PNMCB and how the absence of governance stifles innovation, inclusion, environmental justice, and national sovereignty.

INTERLUDE VII: The Paper Tiger Syndrome

ACT VIII: Discourse vs. Reality — Unmasking Contradictions in Policy and Practice

Comparison between the official narrative and practical results, exposing how the main narratives are defeated or ignored by the Brazilian institutional ecosystem.

FINAL INTERLUDE: Open Act — The Future Under Construction